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Winners and Losers of the Post Draw

Winners 


Dortmund drew inside of of the speed, but he has the shortest distance to the rail without actually being on the rail. If he breaks good this is a perfect spot for this big horse. 

Firing Line another that got just the right post as he will be breaking from post ten which puts him smack in the middle right where you want to be. 

Mubtaahij the six post is really going to help this horse it will put him right behind the speed and give him a solid spot to stalk. 

Bob Baffert for once Bob didn't draw the rail in the Derby looks like things are finally going to play out the way he wants. 


Losers 

Ocho Ocho Ocho is an obvious loser here and he will need to drop back and settle which actually may help this colt. 

Carpe Diem not a good spot for this colt he will be one of the first horses to load and with his previous gate issues this wont be a good spot for this colt. 

Materiality he will have to send from post three which is not ideal for this colt. 

Todd Pletcher I'm sure if he had the choice he would swap his posts around as his lesser two drew excellent and his top two drew terrible.  


Post Positions with Morning Line Odds 


1. Ocho Ocho Ocho 50-1 
2. Carpe Diem 8-1 
3. Materiality 12-1  
4. Tencendur 30-1 
5. Danzig Moon 30-1 
6. Mubtaahij 20-1 
7. El Kabeir 30-1 
8. Dortmund 3-1 
9. Bolo 30-1 
10. Firing Line 12-1 
11. Stanford 30-1 
12. International Star 20-1 
13. Itsaknockout 30-1 
14. Keen Ice 50-1 
15. Frosted 15-1 
16. War Story 50-1 
17. Mr. Z 50-1 
18. American Pharoah 5-2 
19. Upstart 15-1 
20. Far Right 30-1 

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First Day Totals …

Derby Six for 4/20/18

1. Good Magic 
Curlin- Glinda The Good by Hard Spun
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Trainer: Chad Brown
Owner: eFive Racing Thoroughbreds & Stonestreet Stables LLC

Career Stats:
Starts: 5
Wins: 2
Seconds: 2
Thirds: 1
Earnings: $1,855,000

Derby Points: 134 

Analysis:

Good Magic is the type of horse that needs racing to get fit and he proved that in spades in the Bluegrass. Many are doubting the final time in the Bluegrass but if you watch closely his ears were flipping every which way and he wasn't entirely focused on the task at hand in other words there is plenty left in the tank. I'm not as concerned with his final time in the Bluegrass as he ran fast enough in the Breeders Cup Juvenile in the later stages of the race to almost guarantee he's going to love the Derby distance. Chad Brown is one of the greatest trainers in the game right now and he knows how to get a horse to peak on the right day, and he's always held this colt in high regard. I have no doubt or qualms that he …