Friday, February 28, 2014

Derby Six for 2/28/14

Derby Six for 2/28/14 


1.Top Billing
Curlin- Parade Queen by A.P. Indy
Career Statistics
Starts: 4
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 1
Earnings: $96,835 
Top Billing's Allowance Victory
Photo by: Weny Wooley Equisport Photos 
Connections 
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III
Owner: Farish, William S. and Hudson, Jr., E. J.
Breeder: W. S. Farish & E. J. Hudson, Jr. Irrevocable Trust

With a strong third place finish in the Fountain of Youth I will keep him in the number one spot. Though he didn't earn many Derby points with that start he ran his race though he lost there was no possible way he could win that race the way the track was playing. The horses that finished in front of him both looked dog tired and will be much easier to catch in the Florida Derby if that is where Shug decides to send this very talented son of Curlin.

Race Shown: 2014 Fountain of Youth Stakes
Race Link: http://youtu.be/GGqW_n24FLw
Finish: 3rd


2. Honor Code
Honor Code
Photo Courtesy of Lanesend.com 

A.P. Indy - Serena's Cat by Storm Cat
Career Statistics:
Starts: 3
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $388,000

Connections 
Jockey:Javier Castellano
Trainer:Claude R. McGaughey III
Owner:Lane's End Racing and Dell Ridge Farm LLC
Breeder:Dell Ridge Farm, LLC

Sounds like he is still on track for a start in the Rebel where he will meet a very talented Tapiture. Tapiture may be very hard to catch in the Rebel due to the mile and a sixteenth distance, but I promise you if this one is sent for the Arkansas Derby there will be no denying him if he is firing on all cylinders. Even though Honor Code has lost a lot of time due to his ankles Shug should be able to get him ready to roll come Rebel day where he will be able to pick up some much needed Derby points and experience.

Race Shown: 2013 Remsen Stakes
Race Link: http://youtu.be/6gCn7m4MKhc
Finish: 1st


3. Candy Boy
Candy Boy
Photo Courtesy of Benoit Photo

Candy Ride (ARG) - She's An Eleven by In Excess (IRE)


Career Statistics
Starts: 6
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 2
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $305,600  

Connections 
Jockey: Gary L. Stevens
Trainer:John W. Sadler 
Owner:C R K Stable 
Breeder:Lee Searing & Susan Searing  

Gary Stevens has got himself a good one with Candy Boy. His win in the Robert B. Lewis thoroughly impressed me. He has a very nice stride to him and looks like he wants to go further in distance. To early to tell what his next target is but this is definietly one to keep an eye on. Though I do worry a tiny bit about distance with him; he has a very limited amount of stamina in his pedigree, but his broodmare sire did win at a mile and quarter.  

Race Shown: 2014 Robert B Lewis Stakes 
finish: 1st 
Race Link: http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/USA/SA/2014/2/8/8/robert-b-lewis-s-gr-ii  



4. Cairo Prince 

Pioneer Ofthe Nile- Holy Bubbette by Holy Bull 
Career Statistics:
Cairo Prince
Photo Courtesy of Espn.com
Starts: 4
Firsts: 3
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $512,000  

Connections 
Jockey: Luis Saez
Trainer: Kiaran P. McLaughlin
Owner: Darley,Namcook Stables, Braverman, Paul, Clarke, Harvey A. and Robertson III, W. Craig
Breeder: Richard L. Elam & Katherine H. Elam
 

Darley has recently aquired this talented colt they really are desperate for a derby win and they will do anything to get it. Derby gods haven't shined to brightly on people who try to buy their way to a Kentucky Derby victory though so thats another notch against this one if you believe in the superstions. With a pedigree like his he shouldn't be able to get a mile and a quarter but Smarty Jones' pedigree said the same story and look what he accomplished. There is always an exception to the rule so thats why you need to include him on any Derby list because you simply can't ignore his talent. 

Race Shown: 2014 Holy Bull Stakes 
Race Link: http://youtu.be/7u6kBU0c8jI 
Finish: 1st 


5. Tapiture 
Tapiture
Photo Courtesy of Courier-journal.com
Tapit- Free Spin by Olympio 
Career Statistics 
Starts: 5
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 2
Earnings: $320,838 

Connections 
Jockey:Ricardo Santana, Jr. 
Trainer:Steven M. Asmussen 
Owner:Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC 
Breeder:Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC 

He rejoins this list after a very impressive win in the Southwest Stakes he showed that Honor Code has to seriously worry when shipping to Arkansas. Though I have some doubts about his ability to get farther than a mile and an eighth, there is no doubting his talent. Steve Asmussen has a Derby out there with his name on it whether its this year well thats something we will have to wait to find out. The way he pulled away made me a re-believer in him and his talent, time will tell if he can actually get a mile and a quarter.

Race Shown: 2014 Southwest Stakes 
Race Link: http://youtu.be/BlPcaa0TYgs
Finish: 1st 


6. Intense Holiday 
Intense Holiday
Photo Courtesy of Starlightracing.com
Harlan's Holiday- Intensify by Unbridled's Song  
Career Statistics 
Starts: 7
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 0
Thirds: 1
Earnings: $351,900 

Connections 
Jockey:Mike E. Smith 
Trainer:Todd A. Pletcher 
Owner:Starlight Racing 
Breeder:Machmer Hall & Haymarket Farm 

He ran a very good race when closing in the Risen Star. Really like how he keeps making jumps forward and seems to get better and learn something new every time he steps foot on a racetrack. With Mike Smith in the saddle this one could very well pull in a Derby victory and it's about time Starlight Stables gets a Derby win. His pedigree is really the only notch against him but with the way he ran in the Risen Star I feel he will want to outrun his pedigree. 

Race Shown: 2014 Risen Star Stakes 
Race Link: http://youtu.be/3NrZHC6DKlk
Finish: 1st


Off The Six 

Shared Belief: Due to lack of information and no news on a replacement prep I will keep him off till he makes another start. 

Noble Moon: Since he is skipping the Gotham I don't like the time gap between the Jerome and the Wood Memorial and don't feel he will be able to win the Wood against horses who are getting the experience and more importantly the points for the Derby. 

Saturday, February 8, 2014

Derby Six for 2/9/14

Derby Six for 2/9/14 



1. Top Billing
Curlin- Parade Queen by A.P. Indy
Career Statistics:
Starts: 3
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $56,835

Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III
Owner: Farish, William S. and Hudson, Jr., E. J.
Breeder: W. S. Farish & E. J. Hudson, Jr. Irrevocable Trust

He moves to number one this week because I'm starting to get worried about Honor Code missing training due to his bruised ankles. Top Billing's next race will be the Fountain Of Youth Stakes if he gets a bit of a better pace in front of him expect him to win by many. He may not even need a good pace in front of him to win the Fountain Of Youth. He will get a rematch with Comissioner and I expect it to be a good race and I fully expect him to prove my belief in him. With him being by Curlin out of an A.P Indy mare this one will run all day and with the Derby trail seemingly packed with speed horses this year this one will come rolling and pick up the pieces. 


Race Shown: Allowance on 1/25/14
Finish: 1st 
Race Link: http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/USA/GP/2014/1/25/4/race-4-aoc-at-gp-on-1-25-14



2.Honor Code
A.P. Indy - Serena's Cat by Storm Cat
Career Statistics:
Starts: 3
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $388,000

Jockey:Javier Castellano
Trainer:Claude R. McGaughey III
Owner:Lane's End Racing and Dell Ridge Farm LLC
Breeder:Dell Ridge Farm, LLC

Really worried about the amount of time this one is going to lose due to his ankles you dont want any hiccups at this crutical time on the Derby trail. You need a horse who is ready to fire come Derby day not one who is still playing catch up from Febuary. Another one who will run all day I fully expect him to retain his two year old form and get better as the distances get longer. The Gotham looks to be his next start where he could potentially meet up with Noble Moon another who looks like a serious contender at this point Honor Code with need to be firing on all cylinders to get by that one.

Race Shown: Remsen Stakes
Finish: 1st
Race Link: http://youtu.be/6gCn7m4MKhc


3. Candy Boy
Candy Ride (ARG) - She's An Eleven by In Excess (IRE)

Career Statistics
Starts: 6
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 2
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $305,600 

Jockey: Gary L. Stevens
Trainer:John W. Sadler 
Owner:C R K Stable 
Breeder:Lee Searing & Susan Searing 

Gary Stevens has got himself a good one with Candy Boy. His win in the Robert B. Lewis thoroughly impressed me he has a very nice stride to him and looks like he wants to go further in distance. To early to tell what his next target is but this is definietly one to keep an eye on. Though I do worry a tiny bit about distance with him he has a very limited amount of stamina in his pedigree but his broodmare sire did win at a mile and quarter.  

Race Shown: 2014 Robert B Lewis Stakes 
finish: 1st 
Race Link: http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/USA/SA/2014/2/8/8/robert-b-lewis-s-gr-ii 


4.  Cairo Prince 
Pioneer Ofthe Nile- Holy Bubbette by Holy Bull
Jockey: Luis Saez
Trainer: Kiaran P. McLaughlin
Owner: Namcook Stables, Braverman, Paul, Clarke, Harvey A. and Robertson III, W. Craig
Breeder: Richard L. Elam & Katherine H. Elam

Career Statistics:
Starts: 4
Firsts: 3
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $512,000 

Ladies and Gentleman we have another Verrazano on our hands a horse who looks brilliant but you have to strongly question his ability to get a mile quarter. With a sprinting mare on bottom and a stallion who also was suspect at a mile quarter on top. This colt may be brilliant at distances between one mile and a mile and an eigth. I know he won impressively but if you look closely his stride shortens about mid stretch after he takes the lead. He has done that in every single one of his races, it is one of the main reasons Honor Code was able to come back and win the Remesen against him. He needs to answer the distance questions before I put him any higher, and I'm telling you now if there was future wagering for the Breeders Cup I'd play this one in the Dirt Mile without a second thought.   

Race Shown: Holy Bull Stakes 
finish: 1st 
Race Link: http://youtu.be/7u6kBU0c8jI


5.Shared Belief
Candy Ride (ARG)- Common Hope by Storm Cat
Jockey:Corey S. Nakatani
Trainer:Jerry Hollendorfer
Owner:Jungle Racing LLC, Hollendorfer, J., Litt, J., Solis II, A. and Todaro, G.
Breeder:Pam and Martin Wygod

Career Statistics:
Starts: 3
Firsts: 3
Seconds: 0
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $451,200

I'm very worried about this one as this one has missed two scheduled works now and on the Kentucky Derby trail you cannot have any hiccups without them seriously effecting your chances. That being said one he comes back he better be firing on all cylinders and ready to roll he better put on a show or else he will drop off. He is the your 2013 Champion 2 year old male but that doesnt bode well in the Kentucky Derby as the last two year old champ to win the Kentucky Derby was Street Sense in 2007. I still feel he is the best of the west though from what I've seen so far from the California contingent but that being said there are always surprises on the Kentucky Derby trail.

Race Shown: 2013 Cashcall Futurity
finish: 1st
Race Link: http://youtu.be/ry2YnRn3LaI


6. Noble Moon
Malibu Moon- Mambo Bell by Kingmambo
Breeder:Estate of Edward P. Evans 

Career Statistics:
Starts: 3
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 0
Thirds: 1
Earnings: $193,000

This one caught my eye after his closing rush in the Nashua but he affirmed my beliefs in him after a hard fought win in the Jerome Stakes the other day. He has shown he is an incredibly versatile colt and with his pedigree this one will run all day. Malibu Moon might have a second derby winner in a row with this colt leading the helm. 

Race Shown: 2014 Jerome Stakes 
Finish: 1st
Race Link: http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/USA/AQU/2014/1/4/8/jerome-s-gr-ii