Monday, June 2, 2014

Belmont Top Four Spoiler Chances

I know how hard the Triple Crown is to accomplish, and with everyone seeming to write Chrome off as the next Secretariat I decided to give my opinion on who could play spoiler this Saturday. These are my opinions on the best chances to score in the Belmont, and end the dream of Chrome. I want a Triple Crown winner as much as the next guy, but I have to be reasonable with his not so stamina rich pedigree, and his obvious shortening of stride in the Derby I don't he will take the Belmont. No matter how much I want him to win I can't ignore the obvious he may be a really good horse in a weak crop. Really good horses in weak crops don't win the Belmont take a look at Big Brown who was very much in the same boat in 2008 and he didn't even run a step on Belmont day. I'm not getting my hopes up this time and these four spoiler chances are the the ones I'll be betting on this Saturday.




1. Wicked Strong
Hard Spun- Moyne Abbey by Charismatic

He gets the top pick to spoil due to how he has looked on the training track at Belmont. I have not seen him do any better than he is doing right now, and his pedigree suggests that he should definitely get the mile and a half. His closing style will also move him forward in the Belmont; not to mention Belmont is his home track and that has proven to be dangerous in the past. This horse though he will be short priced he has the best chance to spoil the Chrome party.


2. Commissioner
A.P Indy- Flaming Heart by Touch Gold

Another that figures to be a long-shot here in the Belmont with his magnificent closing ability, and very deep stamina laden pedigree this colt has a huge shot in the Belmont, and at a nice price. He is the type of horse that can beat you anywhere on the track which makes him incredibly dangerous, and though he may not have qualified for the Derby he certainly will fit in here, and after a very improved second in the Peter Pan I figure this one has a huge chance to play spoiler in the Belmont. His daddy won the Belmont in 1992 and his dam sire won the Belmont in 1997 there is no doubt he will get the mile and a half, and with Todd Pletcher handling this one it would not surprise me in the least if he wears the carnations this Saturday.

3. Ride On Curlin
Curlin- Magical Ride by Storm Cat

I worry slightly about his bottom side being lacking majorly in the stamina department, but with Curlin on top he may balance out nicely and handle the mile and a half. He also has bounced out of the Preakness very well judging by photos and videos I have seen of him. He is a very talented young colt and though he may not win here he can definitely spoil the Triple Crown party if he's feeling good and on the muscle.

4. General A Rod
Roman Ruler- Dynamite Eyes by Dynaformer

He is a hard knocking horse and one that refuses to quit. I don't worry to much about the distance because he is able to run from anywhere on the racetrack. He also ran a very solid race in the Preakness and with the time to relax and get into a rhytm he may actually be able to pull a shocker here. He also picks up Rosie Napravnik which can only help his chances here. He will be a longshot on Saturday and he's one of the few remaining that actually have the pedigree to get and love a mile and a half.

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