Derby Six for 4/12/14
Jockey: Mike E. Smith
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Owner: Watson, Karl, Pegram, Michael E. and Weitman, Paul
He got exactly what he needed out of the Santa Anita Derby he didn't need the win. His solid second was very easy and he was hand ridden the entire stretch and yet still drew off and made ground on California Chrome in the gallop out. That kind of performance should set him up really well for a winning performance come Derby day I'm starting to get flashbacks of Real Quiet with this one. Even though Bayern didn't exactly boost his reputation I feel this one is breed more for distance than Bayern and strictly breeding and experience was Bayern's problem in the Arkansas Derby. I strongly feel this is one of the better three year olds in training and if the pace is as hot as I suspect it will be in the Derby this one is tactical and can pick up the pieces late if need be. All he has to do is stay in one piece till Derby day and get a little racing luck in the Derby.
Trainer: James A. Jerkens
Owner: Centennial Farms
His race in the Wood was very impressive, and he will be one of maybe four closers come Derby day that will be making up ground, thing is with a fast pace its hard to weave your way past tired horses, and there will be nineteen of them he will have to get by come Derby day. I love his pedigree he strongly reminds me of Pleasant Colony who won the Derby after taking the Wood maybe this one will follow in those big hoof prints. If he doesn't take the Derby watch out for this one in the Belmont something tells me a mile and a half will be no problem for this very special son of Hard Spun.
Trainer: Art Sherman
Owner: Coburn, Steven and Martin, Perry
I still don't quite know what to make of this colt he is either the one of the best horses I've seen or just another brilliant miler. I base my views on Derby horses with whether or not I think they can get the distance with this one if he can get the distance he is simply the best horse I have ever seen. That distance question is the only thing keeping him from being number one on my Derby list yes he is brilliant but how many times do I have to reiterate brilliant doesn't always win the Derby actually more often than not it doesn't. He needs to prove he can get the distance before I will call him anything other than brilliant. My worries about distance are not unfounded his pedigree is not exactly top tier with distance and I really didn't like the way he galloped out in the Santa Anita Derby which would warrant distance issues, guess we will have to wait till May.
Trainer: H. Graham Motion
Owner: St. Elias Stable and West Point Thoroughbreds
Still not ready to give up on this one even if he doesn't win the Derby I feel this is one that once he figures everything out he could be one of the top three year olds around. Though he is green he showed an ability to rate last out which gives me confidence that he will be okay in the Derby hes only ranked this low due to his greenness which will only go away with racing experience.
Owner: Daniel J. Dougherty
Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
Owner: Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners