Skip to main content

Deeper Look Part Two

4. American Pharoah 
Pioneerof The Nile- Littleprincessemma by Yankee Gentleman

Career Statistics:
Starts: 5
Firsts: 4
Seconds: 0
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $1,411,500 

Connections: 
Jockey: Victor Espinoza
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Owner: Zayat Stables, LLC 

Derby Points: 160 

Last Race: Arkansas Derby 
Last Race Finish: 1st 



Class: No question he has some serious talent, but there is a strong worry that he won't get the distance. He has no flaws except he needs to be on or right off the lead which if a quick pace develops he will have no chance. He does everything like a good horse should, but I really think he will have some issues with the distance of the Derby. 

Pedigree: He has a dosage index of 4 which does not bode well for his chances at getting a mile and a quarter. His sire did run second in the Kentucky Derby, but he was never a challenge to the winner that year who happened to be Mine That Bird. His dam side is straight sprinter speed his broodmare sire is Yankee Gentleman who was primarily a sprinter. Overall his pedigree does not really fit for a mile and a quarter horse, but stranger things have happened, and this looks like a seriously talented individual. 

Overall Opinion: Very classy colt that has loads of ability. Strongly worry about ability to handle a mile and a quarter. 

Final Decision: American Pharoah is a contender. 



5. Frosted 
Tapit- Fast Cookie by Deputy Minister  

Career Statistics:
Starts: 7
Firsts: 2
Seconds: 4
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $836,800

Connections: 
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Kiaran P. McLaughlin
Owner: Godolphin Racing LLC  


Derby Points: 113


Last Race: Wood Memorial 
Last Race Finish: 1st 



Class: Seems like Kiaran McLaughlin finally got this colt all figured out after he put together a strong performance in the Wood. Frosted fully exposed the New York crop as a weak bunch which I fully expected him to do. He does have some physical issues as he had to have tie back surgery in between his starts in the Fountain of Youth and the Wood Memorial which is very concerning. Seems like he's over his issues, but I don't really see this horse winning the derby as he seemed to have trouble getting by Tencenduer who is not really quite as classy as some of the other horses this year. 

Pedigree: Bred to run all day with Tapit on top and out of a Deputy Minister mare he should be able to handle the distance no problem. He has a strong dosage index of 2.75 which bodes well for his chances at getting the distance. 

Overall Opinion: Frosted is a nice colt, but worry he may not be as classy as some of the others in here. 

Final Decision: Frosted is a pretender. 



6. Mubtaahij 
Dubawi- Pennegale by Pennekamp 

Career Statistics:
Starts: 7
Firsts: 4
Seconds: 1
Thirds: 0
Earnings: $1,461,332

Connections: 
Jockey: Christophe Soumillon
Trainer: Michael F. de Kock
Owner: Sheikh Mohd bin Khalifa al Maktoum 

Derby Points: 100 

Last Race: UAE Derby 
Last Race Finish: 1st 



Class: We have no clue how good this colt is as his competition was totally questionable in the UAE Derby. All we do know is that this colt seems to be very very talented, and has a very explosive turn of foot. He also will be incredibly fit on Derby day as he has already run farther than every horse in the Derby field. Only question is will he handle the ship over. 

Pedigree: Has a dosage index of 1 which means he will absolutely run all day. No worries about distance with this one. 

Overall Opinion: Very serious colt, and is probably the best horse that has ever come over from the UAE Derby. 

Final Decision: Mubtaahij is a contender.  



Tune in next time as I take a deeper look into Materiality, El Kabeir, and Upstart. 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Triple Crown Reactions

I got into horse racing way back in 2004 thanks to a plucky little chestnut horse named Smarty Jones who swept through the Kentucky Derby and Preakness with devastating ease I thought for sure even with my limited horse racing knowledge at that time that he would be racings 12th Triple Crown winner. My hopes were dashed as another plucky little colt named Birdstone swept on by him and dashed all my hopes in that final heartbreaking furlong.  The Triple Crown is part of what fueled my love for this sport at such a young age, and after Smarty Jones I spent most of my life thinking I would never have the privilege to witness a Triple Crown winner. So when American Pharoah came along I relished every hoofbeat, every race-call, and every heart stopping moment along the trail. I probably have watched his Belmont over a hundred times, and I could probably recite it word for word by now. I remember exactly where I was when he crossed that wire first I was hot walking a horse named Castlede...
1 comment
Read more

Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks day stakes picks

Kentucky Oaks Day Stakes Selections!  Race 5: The Eight Belles Stakes  Superfecta Selections  #4 Break Even (Country Day- Exotic Wager by Saint Ballado) Jockey: Shaun Bridgmohan Trainer: Brad H. Cox  Morning Line: 4/1 #6 Del Mar May (Jimmy Creed- Big Lou by Malibu Moon) Jockey: Joel Rosario Trainer: Richard Baltas Morning Line: 5-1 #7 Lyrical Lady  (More Than Ready- La Song by Unbridled's Song) Jockey: Ricardo Santana JR. Trainer: Steve Asmussen Morning Line: 8/1 #9 Mother Mother  (Pioneerof The Nile- Mother by Lion Hearted) Jockey: Florent Geroux Trainer: Bob Baffert Morning Line: 3/1  Top pick: #6 Del Mar May  Race 6: The Edgewood Stakes  Superfecta Selections  #1 Newspaperofrecord (IRE) (Lope De Vega (IRE)- Sunday Times (GB) by Holy Roman Emperor (IRE)) Jockey: Irad Ortiz JR Trainer: Chad Brown Morning Line: 3/5 #2 Cambier Parc (Medaglia D'Oro- Sealy Hill by Point Given) Jockey: Jose Ort...
Post a Comment
Read more

Derby Six for 1/10/16

1. Brody's Cause  Giant's Causeway- Sweet Breanna by Sahm Jockey: Corey J. Lanerie Trainer: Dale L. Romans Owner: Albaugh Family Stable Career Record: Starts: 4 Firsts: 2 Seconds: 0 Thirds: 1 Earnings: $523,138 Derby Points: 14  Extremely talented individual with a ground covering stride that looks like he'll get better with age. If he handles the transition from two to three he's going to be one tough costumer this winter. His third in the Juvenile is not discouraging he simply did not have enough time to make up ground as he was really far back in the Juvenile. Has yet to work since his last effort, but that's not too concerning expect him to make a return in either the Fountain of Youth or Rebel Stakes. Last Win:  2015 Breeders Futurity Last Race:  2015 Breeders Cup Juvenile Last Race Finish:  3rd 2. Sail Ahoy  Bernardini- Matlacha Pass by Seeking The Gold Jockey: Joel Rosario Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III Owner: Phipps...
Post a Comment
Read more